How does AI impact investing?
The internet is all abuzz about Artificial Intelligence (AI). If you’ve tuned into any news show, website, or podcast in the last few months, chances are you’ve heard a story about AI. The clickbait titles range the gamut from the negative to the positive:
“AI Will Take Your Job!”
“AI: The Future of Healthcare”
“AI Could Be Humanity’s Last Invention”
“How AI is Revolutionizing Education”
This hot topic seems to have captured our collective imagination in a big way. But is AI going to save us or destroy us?
It shouldn’t surprise you to hear that our answer is “neither.” As with most issues the media blows up into larger stories, the answer is somewhere in the middle. No question, AI has some positive applications, and these are surely going to be a game-changer in certain fields. For example, AI-driven medical diagnostics have the potential to catch diseases earlier and more accurately than human doctors. In the realm of climate science, AI can help model and predict changes more precisely, aiding in the fight against global warming.
On the other hand, there are risks involved with AI. Concerns range from job displacement due to automation to ethical issues surrounding surveillance and privacy. High-profile voices in tech, such as Elon Musk and the late Stephen Hawking, have warned about the existential risks AI could pose if not properly managed. But that doesn’t mean it will sound the death knell for humanity.
What about AI and investing? One area where AI has not shown incredible promise is that of picking stocks. Don’t believe us? David Booth, from Dimensional Advisors, asked ChatGPT about investing, and the answer was basically “Do Not Trust ChatGPT.” This highlights a crucial point: while AI can process vast amounts of data and identify patterns that humans might miss, it doesn’t possess the intuitive judgment and foresight that experienced investors bring to the table.
Additionally, the stock market is influenced by a multitude of factors that are often unpredictable and driven by human emotions. AI, despite its advanced algorithms, can’t account for the whims and irrational behaviors of human investors. This is why, despite the potential of AI in many areas, it hasn’t revolutionized stock picking as some might have hoped.
How should we feel about AI and the future? Whatever your feelings are on AI, we believe it’s neither a reason to panic nor a reason to go all-in on an untested technology. There is an old saying in the investment world that the four most dangerous words are “This Time Is Different.” All the hype surrounding AI includes claims along those lines. It usually does not behoove investors to make big bets on the latest trends but rather to stay the course with one’s well-diversified portfolio, incorporating an overall asset allocation that matches their risk tolerance and time horizon.
AI represents a significant technological advancement with the potential to transform many aspects of our lives. Its impact will likely be complex, with both positive and negative elements. As we navigate this new landscape, it is crucial to approach AI with a balanced perspective, recognizing its capabilities while remaining vigilant about its risks. Just as with any other major innovation, the key lies in thoughtful and measured integration rather than succumbing to hype or fear.